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Using take-off phase data for forecasting the evolution of emergent technologies

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posted on 2018-09-12, 13:25 authored by Gaizka GarechanaGaizka Garechana, Rosa Río, Iñaki BildosolaIñaki Bildosola, Ernesto Cilleruelo
This study tries to forecast the evolution of five emerging technologies, namely 3d printing, unmanned aerial vehicles (drone), blockchain technology, natural language processing (NPL) and virtual reality (VR) by comparing the evolution in patent number of these technologies (they are all at take-off phase at year 2016) with the pattern shown by a set of mature technologies on that same phase.

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